The southern Chinese city of Zhuhai has introduced restrictions on housing purchases in a sign of the government’s resolve to rein in the property market.
The move on Tuesday came even though prices have started to decline across much of the country.
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Similar restrictions have been rolled out in other big cities since last year, including limits on the number of units households can buy, curbs on purchases by non-residents and caps on the amount developers can charge for apartments.
But a big drop in sales volumes and recent price falls in leading markets had led many to assume Beijing would start to ease restrictions.
Shares in most leading Hong Kong-listed Chinese property developers rebounded by between 30 and 80 per cent in the fortnight to last Friday on expectations of imminent easing, although most were still down by more than a third since the start of the year.
Shares in listed developers such as Evergrande, Longfor and China Vanke fell on Tuesday in Hong Kong and Shanghai on news of the Zhuhai restrictions and reports in Chinese media that some large developers were offering big discounts on developments.
Many in the sector fear such discounts could trigger a wave of price cuts amid weak demand just as a large number of new apartments is expected to come to market across the country.
Adding to those fears, data from the China Real Estate Index System released on Tuesday showed average residential property prices across 100 leading cities in China fell 0.23 per cent in October from the previous month, the biggest decline so far this year.
Average prices were still up 5.21 per cent on the same month a year earlier, but this was a slower increase than the 6.16 per cent rise in September.
For most Chinese citizens the rapid price rises of the past few years have put apartments in big cities far out of their reach and the government wants to bring prices down gradually to make them more affordable.
But because of the importance of real estate to the wider economy – housing construction is estimated to make up one quarter of investment and 10 per cent of the country’s gross domestic product – Beijing is wary of triggering steep price declines.
On Saturday, Wen Jiabao, the Chinese premier, said Beijing was looking for a “reasonable correction” in prices and would resolutely continue its property tightening strategy while forcing local governments to implement existing housing purchase restrictions.
Zhuhai, an industrial city in Guangdong province, announced on Tuesday that people who had not paid taxes or social insurance in the city for more than a year could not buy apartments there, while local families were limited to buying one home unit each.
It also imposed a cap on home prices of Rmb11,285 per sq metre for the rest of the year. Any developer asking for higher prices would not be given permits to sell their developments.
The title of this weblog is borrowed from a book that has greatly impacted my approach to studying and observing China, and has led me to conclude that the future of America is becoming more deeply embedded in the future of Asia every day. That book was NY Times op-ed columnist Nicholas Kristof's memoir about his experiences while working as NYT bureau chief in Beijing. According to Kristof, Napolean once said that "When China wakes, it will shake the world." Can you feel it?
9.11.11
China imposes curbs on buying property
8.3.11
There's A 60% Chance Of A Chinese Banking Crisis By 2013 - Fitch Ratings
China's financial system have been classified as MPI3 since last June. That means there's a 60% chance of a banking crisis by mid-2013, according to comments today from Fitch Ratings senior director Richard Fox to Bloomberg.
Historically an MPI3 classification suggests that crisis will occur within three years, as it did in Ireland and Iceland.
China's vulnerability is related to out of control real estate lending. Fox tells Bloomberg:
Fitch sees the risk of “holes in bank balance sheets” should a property bubble burst...
Chinese banks fueled record property-price gains by extending a record 17.5 trillion yuan ($2.7 trillion) of loans over 2009 and 2010 under the stimulus program that propelled the nation through the financial crisis. Regulators’ efforts to contain the risks for lenders have included stress tests for declines in house prices and a crackdown on lending to local- government financing vehicles.
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